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July 25.2025
3 Minutes Read

Understanding the Link Between Google Rankings and AI Overview Citations

Google ranking and AI overviews discussion with a profile picture.

Unpacking the Connection: Online Visibility and AI Overviews

In the evolving landscape of digital marketing, understanding the interplay between traditional search rankings and AI-generated content is crucial for small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs). When we ask, “Does ranking higher on Google ensure you’ll get cited in AI Overviews?” it leads us to a fascinating crossroads of SEO and artificial intelligence.

The Study: What the Numbers Show

To explore this question, researchers analyzed a massive dataset comprising one million keywords that trigger AI Overviews. They looked at 1.9 million citation links from the top three links cited within these overviews, noting patterns in how rank positions influence citations. The relationship they found is quite interesting—a positive correlation of 0.347. This suggests that better SERP rankings do enhance the chances of being cited in AI Overviews, but it shouldn’t be overstated.

For example, even those websites ranking number one experience AI citations only about 50% of the time, making the likelihood akin to a coin flip. This raises an interesting dilemma for SMBs: while striving for SEO success is essential, ranking alone isn’t the be-all-end-all to being featured in AI-generated content.

Why Rankings Matter, But Not as Much as You Think

Surprisingly, the study found that the position of the cited URL within AI Overviews can also significantly differ from typical SEO performance. Websites with higher SERP rankings will not only get mentioned more frequently, but they’ll also be cited more prominently in the overview. Here, the correlation increased to 0.445. What this tells us is clear—if you're cited in AI Overviews, a higher organic rank could mean dominating that space.

The Hidden Layers of Citation Strategies: Beyond SEO

Despite the relationship between rankings and citations being significant, there’s something deeper at play around AI selections. One key aspect that may come into play is brand mentions and overall online reputation. So, if you’re managing an SMB, it’s time to think beyond just keywords and consider how your brand is perceived in online discussions.

Building a strong online presence can lead to more citations, even if your ranked position appears lower in typical search results. Engaging with your customers, hosting discussions online, and actively mentioning your brand in relevant contexts can contribute to an improved standing in AI Overviews.

Practical Tips for Visibility in AI Overviews

1. **Optimize Your Content**: Use tools like Ahrefs Brand Radar to track mentions of your business in AI Overviews. Being proactive about where and how your brand is discussed can sharpen your strategies.

2. **Encourage Engagement**: Foster connections with your audience through social media, webinars, and Q&A sessions. This can increase brand mentions and improve your chances of being cited.

3. **Quality Matters**: Focus on creating high-quality, relevant content that others will find useful. The more valuable your content is, the more likely it will be shared and mentioned in AI platforms.

4. **Monitor Your Competition**: Keep an eye on businesses in your niche who are excelling in both rankings and AI citations. Analyzing their strategies can offer insights into your own approach.

Looking Ahead: The Future of SEO & AI

As technology continues to evolve, the ways in which we engage with our audience must adapt. The relationship between AI Overviews and search rankings presents an opportunity for SMBs to innovate their marketing strategies. Understanding the changing algorithms and embracing them can position your business to not only rank well but also earn respect in AI-generated citations.

Ultimately, higher rankings can improve your chances of being cited in AI Overviews, but SMBs should focus on building their brand reputation as well. As we navigate this digital age, let’s remember that it’s about more than just visibility—it's about creating a community that values your contributions.

If you're interested in tracking your brand's mentions in AI Overviews and optimizing for better visibility, check out the tools available through Ahrefs. Whether you're an established business or just starting out, understanding these dynamics will be key in setting you apart in today's competitive landscape.

Join the Discussion!

As we continue to explore the intersection of SEO and AI, we encourage you to engage with us. Share your experiences and strategies in the comments below or connect with us on LinkedIn. Your insights could help fellow SMBs navigate this complex territory!

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